Understanding Market Phases: Strategies to Maximise Cycles and Trends - Money and Investing with Andrew Baxter
Market Phases: The Big Picture
Market phases are the overarching movements we see in the markets over long periods. Think of these as the broad strokes of market behavior, either bullish or bearish.
Bullish Phase: This is when markets are on the rise, typically driven by strong economic indicators, low-interest rates, and robust corporate earnings. For example, post-GFC, the U.S. markets enjoyed a significant bullish run, largely fueled by near-zero interest rates and aggressive monetary policies.
Bearish Phase: On the flip side, a bearish phase is characterized by falling market prices. This often happens during economic downturns, periods of high inflation, or when interest rates spike. Take the U.S. from the late 1960s to the early 1980s, a textbook case of a secular bearish market, plagued by inflation and soaring interest rates.
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